SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead |
40.77% ( 0.21) | 24.21% ( -0.04) | 35.01% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.17) | 42.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.42% ( 0.17) | 64.58% ( -0.17) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.17) | 20.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( 0.27) | 53.5% ( -0.27) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.02) | 23.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( -0.02) | 57.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 35.01% |
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