Given the 40-point gulf between title-chasing Wrexham and struggling Gateshead in the National League table, the visitors look set to register a straightforward victory on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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