Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
