Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
