SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Torquay United |
51.88% ( 0.49) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 23.81% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.01) | 48.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0) | 71.01% ( 0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.19) | 18.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 0.31) | 50.28% ( -0.31) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.35) | 35.04% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( -0.37) | 71.78% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.81% |
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