SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Gateshead win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Gateshead |
74.65% ( 0.13) | 15.66% ( -0.05) | 9.69% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% | 36.41% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.45% | 58.55% ( -0) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.72% ( 0.03) | 8.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.1% ( 0.07) | 28.9% ( -0.07) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.15) | 45.62% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.58% ( -0.12) | 81.42% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 74.65% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.66% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.69% |
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