SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
33.95% ( 0) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 41.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.04) | 45.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( -0.04) | 68.04% ( 0.04) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.02) | 26.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( -0.02) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.03) | 22.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( -0.04) | 55.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.12% |
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