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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
SU

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 33.95%
    Southend United 41.12%
    Draw 24.92%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 4-0 Altrincham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Altrincham
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Solihull
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Southend
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 Barnet
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Southend
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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