SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
74.06% ( 0.07) | 15.64% ( -0.01) | 10.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.08) | 34.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.82% ( -0.09) | 56.18% ( 0.1) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.11% | 7.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.07% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0.02) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.15) | 42.95% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.76% ( -0.13) | 79.25% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.3% |
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