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National League | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
OA

Wrexham
5 - 1
Oldham

O'Connell (24'), Mullin (33', 70', 90+3'), Lee (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (45+3')
Sheron (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Oldham Athletic

Wrexham have been almost flawless at the Racecourse Ground this season, even managing to push promotion-chasing Championship side Sheffield United very close in the FA Cup, and so it should be a relatively routine victory on Saturday. Earlier in the campaign, Parkinson's side defeated Oldham 3-0 at home in the FA Cup, but the Latics have improved since then, so it could be a more closely-contested game this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 10.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawOldham Athletic
74.06% (0.068000000000012 0.07) 15.64% (-0.013 -0.01) 10.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)34.28% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)56.18% (0.1 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11%7.9% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.07% (-0.012 -0.01)27.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.06% (-0.147 -0.15)42.95% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (-0.125 -0.13)79.25% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 74.05%
    Oldham Athletic 10.3%
    Draw 15.64%
WrexhamDrawOldham Athletic
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.87% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.98% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.64%
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 4 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Woking
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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