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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Boundary Park
C

Oldham
2 - 2
Chesterfield

Norwood (13' pen.), Gardner (23')
Kitching (62'), Gardner (63'), Garner (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hobson (27'), Quigley (63' pen.)
Tyrer (11'), Sheckleford (47'), Quigley (66'), Oldaker (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawChesterfield
28.94% (-0.058 -0.06) 24.31% (0.004999999999999 0) 46.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)45% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (-0.058 -0.06)67.36% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)28.91% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)64.78% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)51.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 28.94%
    Chesterfield 46.74%
    Draw 24.31%
Oldham AthleticDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 46.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-0 Bromley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Southend
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-2 Oldham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Oldham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 4-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League


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