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National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
G

Torquay Utd
1 - 1
Gateshead

Jarvis (70')
Donnellan (10'), Evans (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailey (75')
Magnay (77'), Conteh (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Southend
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 1-1 Gateshead

Both teams are on a rough patch heading into the game, and this weekend's meeting could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawGateshead
41.01% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 22.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 36.3% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.71% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)51.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 41.01%
    Gateshead 36.3%
    Draw 22.69%
Torquay UnitedDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93%
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Southend
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Gateshead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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