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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.29% ( 0.55) | 21.24% ( 0.4) | 58.46% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( -1.06) | 39.52% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( -1.11) | 61.87% ( 1.11) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( -0.08) | 33.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( -0.08) | 69.63% ( 0.08) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( -0.62) | 13.27% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.93% ( -1.26) | 40.06% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.46% |
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