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National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
TU

Barnet
1 - 0
Torquay Utd

Armstrong (9')
Hall (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (13'), Lapslie (44'), Hanson (59'), Ellis (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barnet 3-0 Torquay United

Barnet are looking good to finish this season in the playoffs and a home assignment against Torquay seems like the perfect game to win convincingly in front of the home faithful. United have been conceding at an alarming rate over the past month and need to address those defensive issues in order to give themselves a chance of staying in the National League this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawTorquay United
49.65%23.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79%17.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (0.0010000000000048 0)29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 49.65%
    Torquay United 26.92%
    Draw 23.43%
BarnetDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 26.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Barnet
Monday, November 14 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnet 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Scunthorpe
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League


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