SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
38.33% ( -1.62) | 24.95% ( -0.14) | 36.72% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( 0.85) | 45.41% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.8) | 67.75% ( -0.8) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.45) | 23.45% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.66) | 57.46% ( 0.66) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( 1.38) | 24.31% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( 1.92) | 58.68% ( -1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72% |
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