SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
28.31% ( -0.01) | 24.55% ( 0) | 47.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0) | 46.44% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -0) | 68.73% ( 0) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.01) | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.77% ( -0.01) | 66.24% ( 0.01) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0) | 19.78% ( -0) |
