Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
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