Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.