Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
