SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
22.25% ( 0.04) | 22.76% ( 0.02) | 54.98% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -0.05) | 43.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( -0.05) | 66.28% ( 0.05) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0) | 33.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( 0.01) | 70.31% ( -0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.04) | 15.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% ( -0.07) | 45.05% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.98% |
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