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National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
WA

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')
Hulme (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')
O'Connor (3'), Young (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 0-3 Wrexham

Wrexham displayed that they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with a promotion-chasing Championship side last weekend, so they should have no trouble sweeping Altrincham aside. Mullin has been in inspired form, and he is likely to get in on the act again, in what should be a resounding victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
22.25% (0.035 0.04) 22.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 54.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.052 -0.05)43.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)15.85% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.07 -0.07)45.05% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.25%
    Wrexham 54.98%
    Draw 22.76%
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-2 Altrincham
Sunday, January 1 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Halifax
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Altrincham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-3 Sheff Utd
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gateshead 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Wrexham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Bromley
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in National League
Last Game: Coventry 3-4 Wrexham
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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