SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
83.29% ( -0.03) | 10.36% ( 0.02) | 6.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.04) | 20.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.06) | 39.15% ( 0.06) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.41% ( -0.01) | 3.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.49% ( -0.04) | 15.51% ( 0.04) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.02% | 40.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.46% | 77.54% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.7% ( -0)5-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 4.82% Total : 83.29% | 1-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.22% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.35% |
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