SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
63.09% ( -0.09) | 19.62% ( 0.02) | 17.29% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( 0.05) | 36.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.05) | 58.91% ( -0.05) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( -0.01) | 11.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.47% ( -0.02) | 35.54% ( 0.03) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.11) | 34.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.12) | 71.24% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.29% |
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