Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
