We expect Wrexham to have far too much quality for their opponents, who are unlikely to be fighting tooth and nail having put considerable distance between themselves and the drop zone.
The Red Dragons are on the cusp of returning to the EFL and it seems improbable that a bottom-half team can stop them in their tracks given the disparity in resources between the two clubs.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.05%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for York City had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
