Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
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