Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.