SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Altrincham |
43.61% ( 0.05) | 22.88% ( 0.01) | 33.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.93% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.06) | 36.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% ( -0.06) | 58.14% ( 0.06) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0.01) | 17.07% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( -0.01) | 47.25% ( 0) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.06) | 21.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( -0.09) | 54.86% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.51% |
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