Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.68) 
0.69) 
