SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
27.3% ( -0.68) | 24.57% ( -0) | 48.14% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.43) | 47.17% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -0.4) | 69.4% ( 0.4) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.73) | 31.22% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( -0.86) | 67.57% ( 0.87) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.12) | 19.66% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( 0.19) | 51.63% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.14% |
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