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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for York City had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
27.16% ( -0.12) | 25.62% ( -0.25) | 47.22% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( 0.92) | 51.66% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( 0.79) | 73.44% ( -0.79) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( 0.39) | 33.7% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( 0.43) | 70.36% ( -0.42) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.55) | 21.88% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% ( 0.83) | 55.13% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.21% |
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