Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
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