Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Latvia in this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Latvia
26.35%	30.33%	43.32%

Both teams to score 38.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.19%

67.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.19%

85.8%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.6%

43.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.38%

79.62%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65%

31.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29%

67.7%

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 26.34%

Latvia 43.32%

Draw 30.33%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.34%	0-0 @ 13.6% 1-1 @ 13.17% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.33%	0-1 @ 15.78% 0-2 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.32%