SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Slovakia |
26.09% ( 0.04) | 24.91% ( 0.01) | 48.99% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( -0.03) | 49.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( -0.02) | 71.54% ( 0.02) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.02) | 33.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 0.02) | 70.05% ( -0.02) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.03) | 20.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.05) | 52.56% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.09% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.99% |
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