SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Azerbaijan |
46.5% ( -0.06) | 22.13% ( 0.02) | 31.37% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.75% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.75% ( -0.06) | 33.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.07) | 55.01% ( 0.08) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( -0.05) | 14.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% ( -0.09) | 43.3% ( 0.09) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( -0.01) | 21.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.38% ( -0.01) | 54.61% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 31.37% |
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