SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.14%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Slovakia |
18.35% ( 0.07) | 27.56% ( 0.03) | 54.09% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 37.42% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.02) | 65.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.86% ( -0.01) | 84.14% ( 0.01) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.69% ( 0.08) | 50.3% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.13% ( 0.05) | 84.87% ( -0.05) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.05) | 24.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -0.07) | 59.24% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.35% | 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 17.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.14% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.99% Total : 54.07% |
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