Israel will fancy their chances of finding the net on Thursday having scored in all four Nations League matches thus far, but they may not have as much joy against France this time around. Indeed, Les Bleus will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top in this fixture and we are backing an Mbappe-less side to secure all three points in comfortable fashion on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Israel has a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Israel win it is 0-1 (4.4%).

Result
France	Draw	Israel
68.27% ( 2.09)	19.34% ( -0.8)	12.38% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.07% (

0.5)

45.93% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.76% (

0.47)

68.23% (

-0.48)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.75)

12.4% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.71% (

1.55)

38.29% (

-1.55)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.03% (

-1.74)

46.97% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.53% (

-1.35)

82.46% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

France 68.26%

Israel 12.38%

Draw 19.34%

France	Draw	Israel
2-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.22) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 68.26%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.34%	0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.38%