SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Israel |
14.38% ( -1.6) | 20.18% ( -0.44) | 65.45% ( 2.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( -2.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( -1.24) | 45.1% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( -1.2) | 67.45% ( 1.21) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% ( -2.93) | 43.38% ( 2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.39% ( -2.55) | 79.61% ( 2.56) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.22) | 12.96% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% ( 0.44) | 39.45% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Israel |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.38% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.18% | 0-2 @ 11.73% ( 0.79) 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.68)1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 7.99% ( 0.6)1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.08% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.24)0-5 @ 1.67% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 65.43% |
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