Buoyed by their feats in France, new-look Italy should take care of business against an Israel side short of international nous and experience. Moving onto six points from a possible six would put the Azzurri in a strong position ahead of next month's clash with Belgium in Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Israel had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Italy
34.59% ( 0.05)	26.42% ( 0.22)	38.99% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

-0.91)

52.1% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

-0.79)

73.82% (

0.78)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.41)

28.71% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.51)

64.53% (

0.51)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.57)

26.14% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

-0.76)

61.21% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Israel 34.59%

Italy 38.98%

Draw 26.41%

Israel	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98%