We expect N. Ireland to dig in and make life very difficult for Greece, who looked like a side going through the motions in their defeat to Cyprus at the weekend.
A point is likely to be enough to see the visitors survive in League C, so Baraclough may set his team up to attempt to avoid defeat first and foremost.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.28%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.92%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.06) 
