Iceland
1 - 2
Belgium

Mar Saevarsson (17')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lukaku (9', 38' pen.)
Witsel (85')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Iceland and Belgium, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Belgium
16.36%	22.7%	60.95%

Both teams to score 46.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.19%

51.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43%

73.57%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27%

44.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28%

80.72%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62%

46.38%

Score Analysis

Iceland 16.36%

Belgium 60.94%

Draw 22.69%

Iceland	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 5.97% 2-1 @ 4.31% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-1 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.36%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.69%	0-1 @ 13.32% 0-2 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 5.77% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-5 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.8% Total : 60.94%