SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kosovo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kosovo.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Lithuania |
52.27% ( -0.04) | 25.83% ( -0.04) | 21.9% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.23) | 56.53% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% ( 0.19) | 77.52% ( -0.19) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( 0.08) | 21.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( 0.12) | 54.85% ( -0.12) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.22) | 41.12% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( 0.19) | 77.66% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Lithuania |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.9% |
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