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Nations League | League A
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
WN

Netherlands
3 - 2
Wales

Lang (17'), Gakpo (23'), Depay (90+3')
Martins Indi (21'), Koopmeiners (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Johnson (26'), Bale (90+2' pen.)
Mepham (75'), Ampadu (80'), Roberts (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Netherlands 2-1 Wales

Wales are more than capable of causing problems for the Netherlands, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday night. Holland will be determined to bounce back from what was a disappointing performance against Poland, though, and we believe that Van Gaal's side will again record a 2-1 win over Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawWales
60.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.12% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 45.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.89% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)80.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 60.16%
    Wales 16.7%
    Draw 23.12%
NetherlandsDrawWales
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.48%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 1-4 Netherlands
Friday, June 3 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-2 Denmark
Saturday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Norway
Tuesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-0 Ukraine
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Wales
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Wales 2-1 Austria
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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