SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Poland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Wales |
43.81% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 33.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.05) | 36.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.08% ( -0.05) | 58.93% ( 0.05) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.02) | 17.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.38% ( -0.04) | 47.63% ( 0.03) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.02) | 22.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.04) | 55.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Wales |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.2% |
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