SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Netherlands |
37.46% ( 0.06) | 24.7% ( 0.01) | 37.85% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.05) | 44.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0.05) | 66.61% ( 0.05) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.01) | 23.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( 0.01) | 57.35% ( -0.01) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( -0.05) | 23.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( -0.08) | 57.05% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Netherlands |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.85% |
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