With Wales likely to go as full-strength as possible, they should have enough quality to push their stronger opponents all of the way. However, this game could go a similar way to the one against the Netherlands, with Belgium potentially edging the contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wales had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Wales	Draw	Belgium
26.66% ( 0.07)	26.76% ( 0.02)	46.59% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7% (

-0.04)

56.3% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67% (

-0.03)

77.34% (

0.03)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.39% (

0.04)

36.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6% (

0.04)

73.4% (

-0.03)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-0.06)

24.15% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.54% (

-0.09)

58.47% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Wales 26.66%

Belgium 46.59%

Draw 26.75%

Wales	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.66%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 12.56% 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.59%