Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Norway had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.