SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Austria | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | France | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Austria had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wales in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wales.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Austria |
| 40.7% | 26.99% | 32.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% | 26.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% | 61.67% |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.31% |
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