SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Austria |
45.9% ( -0.53) | 25.78% ( 0.04) | 28.32% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.13) | 51.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.11) | 73.39% ( -0.1) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.19) | 22.45% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( -0.29) | 55.99% ( 0.29) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( 0.45) | 32.76% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% ( 0.5) | 69.32% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 28.32% |
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