SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Norway |
31.06% ( 0.16) | 26.61% ( 0.05) | 42.33% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.16) | 53.71% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( -0.14) | 75.2% ( 0.14) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.03) | 31.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.04) | 68.3% ( -0.03) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -0.18) | 25.1% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( -0.26) | 59.8% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Norway |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.06% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
