SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Sweden |
| 45.34% | 23.14% | 31.53% |
| Both teams to score 63.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% | 38.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% | 17.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% | 47.51% |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% | 23.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Sweden |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.12% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.53% |
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