Slovakia's players are likely to be more motivated than usual given that they are playing in front of their new manager for the first time. Azerbaijan are rarely thrashed, but they are regularly beaten, and we can not envisage much else in Trnava on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
56.26% ( -0.16)	23.31% ( 0.13)	20.43% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

-0.51)

48.45% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

-0.46)

70.58% (

0.46)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

-0.24)

17.03% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

-0.42)

47.17% (

0.42)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.98% (

-0.26)

38.02% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21% (

-0.25)

74.79% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 56.26%

Azerbaijan 20.43%

Draw 23.3%

Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.43%