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Nations League | League B
Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Petrol
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Slovenia
2 - 2
Serbia

Gnezda Cerin (48'), Sesko (53')
Sikosek (31'), Gnezda Cerin (47'), Kurtic (50'), Karnicnik (74'), Gorenc Stankovic (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zivkovic (8'), Mitrovic (35')
Grujic (57'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+5')
Rajkovic (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 0-2 Serbia

Slovenia showed their defensive resilience to keep out Norway on Thursday, but they may struggle to keep the likes of Mitrovic, Milinkovic-Savic and Tadic quiet in the final third on Sunday. The visitors were clinical in their last encounter against the hosts and they should have no problems in securing maximum points again in Ljubljana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
SloveniaDrawSerbia
37.18% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.18% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 37.64% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.13% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.75% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.041999999999994 0.04)59.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)58.66% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 37.18%
    Serbia 37.64%
    Draw 25.18%
SloveniaDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Slovenia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 0-2 Sweden
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 0-0 Qatar
Tuesday, March 29 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Slovenia
Saturday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Cyprus
Sunday, November 14 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Slovenia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 Norway
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 24 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Serbia
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


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