Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
